Research
Draft
Payroll / Salary
Strategy
»
Field Position
Run/Pass Balance
4th Down
Game Theory
Home Field Advantage
Weather
Playoffs
Fantasy
Basic
»
What Makes Teams Win
Correlations
Offense vs Defense
Fallacies
Research Reviews
Special Teams
Coaching
Luck / Randomness
Other Sports
»
Basketball
Hockey
Analysis
Game Previews
Game Analysis
Player Analysis
Team Analysis
Game Probabilities
Playoff Projections
Stats
Team Efficiency
Advanced Team Stats
Adjusted Success Rate
Offensive Players
»
Quarterbacks
Running Backs
Wide Receivers
Tight Ends
Offensive Lines
Players By Team
Top Players By Week
QB Air Yards
Defensive Players
»
Defensive Ends
Defensive Tackles
Linebackers
Cornerbacks
Safeties
Defenders By Team
Top Defenders By Week
Stats Explained
»
Glossary
WPA
EPA
+WPA/+EPA
Tackle Factor
Game Match Ups
Graphs
Visualizations
»
Team Stat Visualizations
Franchise Visualizations
Position Leaders Visualization
QB Visualizations
RB Visualizations
Current Season
Previous Seaons
Top Games
WP Calculator
4th Down Calculator
Time Calculator
Mobile
Other Sports
»
NBA Basketball
NHL Hockey
About
Media Requests
About the Founder
Meet Our Writers
Contact / FAQ
NFL Stats Overview
Prediction Methodology
Subscribe
Play-by-Play Data
Community Site
Game State
Score Diff:
Time Left:
:
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
OT
Field Position:
Own
Opponent's
To Go:
Results
Welcome to the Advanced NFL Stats fourth down calculator. Results are league-average baselines.
Enter the game state to the left and click calculate. Results will appear here.
Score difference is relative to team with possession. I.e. Team w/ ball score − team on defense score.
Win Probabilities (WP) and Expected Points (EP) will be for the team on offense.
