Fourth Down Calculator

Game State

1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT

Own Opponent's


Welcome to the Advanced NFL Stats fourth down calculator. Results are league-average baselines. Successful 4th down conversions are assumed to result in only the number of yrds needed to convert.

Enter the game state to the left and click calculate. Results will appear here.

Score difference is relative to team with possession. I.e. Team w/ ball score − team on defense score.

Win Probabilities (WP) and Expected Points (EP) will be for the team on offense.